"I bet under 78.5 (-120). This looks like a bottom-10 offense and a bottom-10 defense. The pitching is supposed to be the savior, but I'm even skeptical there. Three starters are beginning the year on IL, and Jesus Luzardo is going to have a tough time repeating his 2023. And the bullpen was top five in fWAR, which isn't likely to repeat. I don't t... Read more

"Houston looks like the best and most complete team in the division. They have a much better rotation than Texas, at least to start the season, and a far superior bullpen. The offense is much better than Seattle's. Texas might wind up with a better team by playoff time if Max Scherzer and Jacob deGrom are healthy, but I like Houston's chances quite... Read more

""Hunter Brown was one of the unluckiest pitchers in 2023, falling well below average in BABIP, HR/FB and LOB%, three of the biggest luck indicators. He gets strikeouts, he walks guys at a below-average rate, and he gets ground balls aplenty. He has the talent to be one of the best -- he's a former top prospect and Stuff+ rates him around the top q... Read more