"Prefer to fade teams off physical games, and the Vikings are coming off a loss against one of the most physical teams in the NFL in DET. With Kupp and Puka back, the Rams have the receivers who can burn the Vikings zone defense, similar to how GB and DET did so. "

"Bears D ranks no. 1 in Dropback EPA and the Commanders have yet to face a team that ranks higher than 18th in this metric. Expecting Jaquan Brisker to pass concussion protocol later in the week as well. Defensively, Commanders rank top 10 in pressure rate but also need to blitz at a high clip (8th highest) to generate that pressure. From weeks 4... Read more

"Chargers are facing a bottom five defense by EPA, and more importantly, a defense that ranks 29th in rush success rate. Their inability to stop the run has buried them in three of their four losses (Lions/Commanders/Packers). All of these teams made a commitment to the run game, which the Chargers will happily do (top 10 in rush rate this season).... Read more